Predictive Maintenance Strategies for HVAC Systems: Leveraging MPC, Dynamic Energy Performance Analysis, and ML Classification Models

• Author(s): Divyansh Singh ; Mohd. Arshad ; Bhaumik Tyagi ; Garv Kalia
• Paper ID: 1705111
• Page: 98-108
• Published Date: 12-10-2023
• Published In: Iconic Research And Engineering Journals
• Publisher: IRE Journals
• e-ISSN: 2456-8880
• Volume/Issue: Volume 7 Issue 4 October-2023

Abstract

This research explores the multifaceted challenges that can affect ventilation, air conditioning systems, and heating appliances, leading to reduced operational efficiency, heightened energy consumption, and increased maintenance expenses. Predictive maintenance, a progressive approach, is investigated as a pivotal strategy, complementing traditional HVAC equipment maintenance paradigms, including breakdown maintenance and preventative machine learning. Utilizing a diverse set of predictive models infused with machine learning techniques, this study employs the 'Semiconductor Manufacturing Process (SECOM) dataset' to simulate the manufacturing processes of HVAC systems, aligning with characteristics akin to semiconductor-based devices. The research undertakes a comparative analysis, contrasting the predictive capabilities of the Random Forest (RF) algorithm with the Support Vector Machine (SVM) in areas such as problem detection, diagnostics, and load monitoring. Notably, the RF model demonstrates superior prediction accuracy. The research aims to proactively detect potential HVAC system or component issues, discerning the nature of impending failures at their earliest stages to enable proactive maintenance strategies. Evaluation metrics such as the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and accuracy are employed for rigorous comparative analysis across various predictive machine learning classification models. Furthermore, a comprehensive 'dynamic energy performance benchmark' framework is meticulously developed for HVAC systems, facilitating real-time operational performance assessment and the identification of irregularities in power utilization at different operational stages. Additionally, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models are employed to establish an administrative Model Predictive Control (MPC) system tailored for residential HVAC applications.

Keywords

Predictive maintenance, supervised machine learning, MPC, Random Forest, Fault detection & diagnosis.

Citations

IRE Journals:
Divyansh Singh , Mohd. Arshad , Bhaumik Tyagi , Garv Kalia "Predictive Maintenance Strategies for HVAC Systems: Leveraging MPC, Dynamic Energy Performance Analysis, and ML Classification Models" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals Volume 7 Issue 4 2023 Page 98-108

IEEE:
Divyansh Singh , Mohd. Arshad , Bhaumik Tyagi , Garv Kalia "Predictive Maintenance Strategies for HVAC Systems: Leveraging MPC, Dynamic Energy Performance Analysis, and ML Classification Models" Iconic Research And Engineering Journals, 7(4)